Demand Radar

The rubric

How the score is built, and what it cannot tell you.

Most idea tools give you a list. Lists are cheap to generate and impossible to verify. Demand Radar does the opposite: it reads public text that already exists, counts it, shows you the raw quotes, and then asks you for the one thing a machine genuinely cannot know — whether you can build it.

A demand score is not a prediction. It is a filter that removes the ideas you should not spend three months on.

The five dimensions

DimensionPointsWho assigns it
Demand volume20Automatic
Complaint intensity20Automatic
Competition gap20Automatic
Payment evidence20You
Buildability15You
Reuse5You

Sixty points are computed from cited public data. Forty are yours. That split is deliberate: the failure mode of every automated scoring tool is false precision, and the one thing a scanner cannot see is whether a single person can ship the thing in two weeks.

Where each number comes from

Demand volume — 20 points

We count Hacker News comments matching your keyword in the last 12 months, plus Stack Overflow questions at 0.6, plus Reddit threads at 1.5. Reddit carries the highest per-item weight because a thread is a deliberate act of asking, not a passing mention. The sum is log-scaled, so the difference between 50 and 500 matters far more than between 5,000 and 50,000. Interest saturates; it does not compound.

Hacker News totals are approximate. Algolia reports an estimated hit count that can move by a few percent between identical calls; the comment sample we actually read is exact, the headline number is not.

Complaint intensity — 20 points

We pull up to 100 recent Hacker News comments and up to 100 Reddit threads, then read all of them for pain language: I wish there was, frustrating, wasted, gave up, why is there no, and 23 other markers. The score blends two things — the share of text that reads as a complaint, and the absolute count. A high ratio on a tiny sample is noise; a high ratio on a large sample is a market.

Reddit does most of the work here. It is where people describe a problem in their own words, at length, to an audience of people with the same problem. Hacker News is where they argue about it afterwards.

App Store reviews do not feed the score directly. They feed the evidence panel, because a 1-star review is worth more to you as a sentence than as an integer.

Competition gap — 20 points

We count apps in the US App Store whose title matches your keyword and that have at least 500 ratings. Five hundred is the line where an app has a real user base rather than a launch spike. GitHub repository counts are displayed but not scored: they are too noisy to price a market, and a failed GitHub call returning zero would make a crowded niche look empty — the worst direction for an error to point.

This is why a scan can show 3,000 repos and still read as an open shelf: solved technology plus no product winner is often the best place to stand.

Payment evidence — 20 points, yours

Two checks, ten points each: you found people already paying for a workaround, and a worse tool already charges money. Both are things you can verify in ten minutes on Fiverr, Upwork, or a competitor's pricing page. Neither is visible in public text, which is exactly why we do not pretend to compute it.

Buildability and reuse — 20 points, yours

Three checks for buildability (no license or regulated data, two-week core journey, no inventory or human ops) and one for reuse. These are the questions that kill more ideas than demand ever does.

Reading the verdict

70 and above — build it. Evidence is present and your execution profile holds up. Go build the smallest version and try to charge for it this month.

50 to 69 — worth watching. Usually this means real demand with a crowded shelf, or a clean shelf with thin evidence. Pick the one weakness and spend a week on it before writing code.

Below 50 — let it go. Not because the idea is bad, but because the evidence you can see does not support spending a quarter on it. Most ideas land here. That is the point.

What this score cannot see

What we refuse to do

Run a scan  ·  Pricing